EU Matters

More ammunition for writing to your MP

posted 22 Jan 2019, 11:06 by European Movement Hampshire

Recent events might mean that you have missed the report by leading psephologist and YouGov founder Peter Kellner. He demonstrates that even if no voters have changed their minds about Brexit in the last two and a half years, (when polls clearly show many have, now fantasy has given way to reality), yesterday, 19th January marks the point when enough older voters have died and enough younger voters have entered the electorate for the majority to switch to Remain

 On Saturday 19th Jan 2019 the UK turned Remain. Parliament must force a second referendum

 In effect, the result of the Refererendum in 2016 is no longer the will of the people; it is the will of dead people.


The PM wants MPs to back her utterly defeated deal to protect faith in democracy. It is one thing to respect the dead. It is quite another to be ruled by them.

 If against the odds she pressures MPs to back her, based on an outdated Referendum result flawed by blatant misrepresentation and Leave campaigns breaking electoral law, she will do untold harm to faith in democracy of today's voters. 

 Parliament must now stop Article 50 and grant a People's Vote between her failed deal and the best deal on the table, which is to remain in the EU with our current opt outs and rebate, negotiated over 45 years.


Writing to your MP

posted 22 Jan 2019, 11:03 by European Movement Hampshire

Writing to your MP is an essential way to make them consider the views of Remain voters in their constituency.

You may find some of the following content useful.

It is now very clear that Parliament is unable to decide, and the decision must be put back to the people. 

We now know from the government's own figures that every Brexit scenario leaves Britain economically worse off.

Hard Brexiters like to claim that all 17.4mn Leave voters wanted exactly the same 'out at any cost' as them. That is clearly nonsense. Some of them voted to send £350mn per week to the NHS, or for "all the benefits, none of the costs. Some can't change their minds, but the polls clearly show that others have. Given the predominance of older voters in the Leave camp, significant numbers are no longer in the electorate. But 2mn young voters have joined the electorate since June 2016, and they are entitled to a say on their future. The People in 2019 are not the People of 2016. Nearly three years have passed and the reality does not reflect Boris's fantasy. 

It has also been revealed that as well as lying about the prospects of a deal, the Leave campaigns broke the law to snatch their narrow margin. The 2016 referendum cannot be respected, because illegal activity meant it was not respectable. 

I'm sure you would agree that the use by the Remain campaign, of which you were a part, of Treasury impact assessments which may have turned out not to be precisely accurate, can in no way be compared to the untruths and the breaches of electoral law by the Leave campaigns. 

It is now completely clear that the only resolution is to extend or cancel the Article 50 process pending the result of a further referendum. It is in no way disrespectful of democracy. Quite the reverse. Those who still want to leave may exercise that vote again. Those who have changed their minds now they have seen the reality get a chance to give an informed opinion. And new voters get a say on their future. 

In 2017, the PM called a general election 2 years after the previous one. In 2018, the Conservative Party voted on a change of leader, after 2.5 years. Leaving the EU would have a vastly bigger impact on the country and is effectively irreversible. Holding a vote on the reality, almost 3 years after the first is not only democratic it is a vital national interest. 

I call on you now to use the influence of your position in Parliament to ensure that there is a People's Vote between the PMs deal and remaining in the EU, in the national interest. 

It cannot be right to force through a deal that has been profoundly rejected by our sovereign Parliament, or to impose a massive economic hit and constitutional change which the polls show the people no longer want. 

Nobody talks about Investment

posted 14 Jun 2016, 03:47 by European Movement Hampshire   [ updated 22 Jan 2019, 09:13 ]

With all the arguments about £8bn pounds net going to the EU each year, which is even less when about £1.5bn of EU grants to the private sector are taken into account, nobody is talking about a much bigger number that affects how well off we in Britain are. In 2014 we received over £1,000 billion pounds in investment from overseas. Half of it came from other EU countries. Companies and countries invest in Britain because: 
  • We are in the EU Single Market.
  • They understand our language.
  • Britain is one of the least regulated countries to do business in.
The Single Market is the biggie, because while we are in the EU, businesses here have lower costs to trade with the largest economic group in the world. We can buy and sell the same goods under the same rules in any of 28 countries, and as one of the big three countries in the EU we have a big say in shaping the rules. The same applies to trade in services, which is bigger for the UK than goods. If our financial services take a dive, the value of the pound drops, and we have seen this in reaction to the polls in recent days.

If we lose just 1% of that £1tn, the £10bn lost would set us back more than the cost of our EU membership. If we lose 20% of it, the hit to our economy would be bigger than the banking crash in 2008.

Nobody is saying companies will pull out of the UK immediately. But if a big company is deciding which of its factories to put a new production line into, Britain out of the EU will be at a disadvantage compared to countries still in the EU. Because business and trading costs will go up if we are not in the Single Market. Of course, to sell into the EU we will still need to stick to EU rules, but we will no longer have any say in them. They will not be our rules. Added to that, EU Regional Funding helps with investment in some of the poorer regions. That would dry up making it a bit less attractive to invest there.

More than anything else, businesses hate uncertainty. Because nobody can say what will happen if we leave, businesses will see Britain as riskier than in the EU and investment will fall. If we vote Remain, businesses will be reassured that they know what the future of investing in Britain will bring.

When I started work, my employer had four factories, employing hundreds of people. The first one I worked at had many problems and the company was reluctant to invest there. I moved to the shining example where most of the investment was going, and a few years later the old one was closed. Literally demolished, throwing hundreds of people out of work. 

Years later, they bought a competitor's factory, and the once favoured factory lost its shine. Investment stopped, and in time it closed. Now instead of a factory employing hundreds of people, there is a cluster of car showrooms and self-storage warehouses, employing a small fraction of the people who used to work there. 

I worry that the same will happen to Britain if we leave the EU. If foreign investors can get a better return on investment in another country, because it costs more to do business here, why wouldn't they?

That is why I campaign so passionately to try and persuade people that we are better off staying in. The arguments to stay can be more complicated than the arguments to Leave, but they are stronger.

William Vine 21st January 2019

Hot Turkey

posted 22 May 2016, 05:07 by European Movement Hampshire   [ updated 22 Jan 2019, 09:14 ]

Did a Government Minister just lie to the nation on the BBC? Penny Mordaunt said that Turkey would soon join the EU and the Referendum was our last chance to stop it. In this she reveals either a disgraceful disregard for honesty or an ignorance of EU law that makes her unfit for her position.

The 2015 EU Commission working document on Turkish accession begins:
Turkey has been linked to the EU by an Association Agreement since 1964 and a customs union was established in 1995. The European Council granted the status of candidate country to Turkey in December 1999 and accession negotiations were opened in October 2005. 

The lengthy document runs to 33 chapters listing all the areas under discussion where Turkey has to meet EU criteria to join. There is a long way to go, and many of the chapters have not even been opened yet, despite the application beginning in 1995. An additional hurdle is that all member states have to ratify the accession treaty for a new country to join. That includes the UK. It also includes Cyprus

Cyprus has been an EU member state since 2004. Turkey invaded and has continued to occupy 36% of Cyprus territory since 1974. Turkey continues to veto Cyprus joining such organisations as the OECD.

Now tell me again, Minister, how soon will Turkey be joining the EU?

William Vine 22nd May 2016

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